Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 2.273073 2.596623 2.940623 3.332601 3.765843 4.229023 4.760611
2025-01-05 1.766340 2.230323 2.762909 3.414655 4.185626 5.063377 6.132771
2025-01-12 1.362741 1.888122 2.534695 3.377237 4.433401 5.700263 7.320132
2025-01-19 1.116914 1.681896 2.421214 3.437861 4.775412 6.449470 8.674105
2025-01-26 0.929263 1.511916 2.318359 3.481800 5.078375 7.150536 9.994797
2025-02-02 0.788810 1.379508 2.240340 3.536924 5.383476 7.856599 11.346231
2025-02-09 0.661451 1.242231 2.132107 3.528551 5.587507 8.426033 12.532967
2025-02-16 0.547803 1.105296 2.002996 3.468965 5.703180 8.868282 13.555728
2025-02-23 0.473808 1.020861 1.942120 3.500535 5.945109 9.490166 14.845426
2025-03-02 0.398744 0.920516 1.840958 3.454847 6.060655 9.928066 15.884956
2025-03-09 0.349904 0.859988 1.797978 3.495334 6.305442 10.559702 17.221581
2025-03-16 0.302215 0.792685 1.733791 3.491746 6.475569 11.081919 18.412336
2025-03-23 0.276904 0.769310 1.749865 3.632211 6.895454 12.016628 20.276731
2025-03-30 0.249787 0.737285 1.746227 3.737973 7.265589 12.893698 22.094031
2025-04-06 0.211917 0.672583 1.670408 3.705262 7.398918 13.403510 23.369106
2025-04-13 0.188670 0.638162 1.650849 3.773876 7.708011 14.204203 25.121569
2025-04-20 0.166755 0.602145 1.622907 3.822669 7.982919 14.958258 26.824501
2025-04-27 0.148447 0.571516 1.602292 3.882727 8.279173 15.756603 28.621780
2025-05-04 0.127986 0.529498 1.550232 3.873958 8.447523 16.345905 30.099767
2025-05-11 0.107265 0.480701 1.475176 3.809794 8.506950 16.750358 31.286948
2025-05-18 0.094532 0.453707 1.448392 3.843898 8.751425 17.477766 33.023844
2025-05-25 0.079694 0.414812 1.386080 3.794629 8.830980 17.919558 34.296942
2025-06-01 0.070707 0.394035 1.367086 3.838316 9.091896 18.685324 36.130582